Blog No:175: MPC Repo Rate Review - Pause or one more cut?
Repo Rate Review Feb’ 26: 'pause' the rate and 'status quo' stance likely The last bi-monthly review meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for FY26 is scheduled from 4th Feb' 26 and its decisions will be known on 6th Feb' 26. Key Statistics is a mixed bag: Positives are: 1. CPI Inflation: CPI inflation at 1.33% in Dec' 25, though higher than the previous month, is still well below the lower band of the target rate of 2-6%, set by MPC. 2. Real GDP growth is estimated to grow by 7.4% in FY26 as against 6.5% recorded in FY25. 3. Fex Reserves: continues to be on the increase and stood at USD 709.41 billion as on 23rd Jan' 26 4. Liquidity: RBI conducted USD/INR buy/sell swaps for USD25 billion in Dec' 25 and scheduled another buy/sell swap for USD10 billion in the first week of Feb' 26. Two '90 days tenor' Variable Repo Rate auctions were conducted in Jan' 26 resulting in a 'durabl...