Repo Rate - Better to keep the rate unchanged?
Repo rate review: A catch 22 situation? The fourth bi-monthly review meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for the current financial year (FY 26-27) starts tomorrow. What will be the decision of RBI MPC on repo rate? On the negative side, Crude Oil prices, an important factor to contribute imported inflation, are ruling above USD100 per barrel in the last three weeks. The other factor for increase in domestic prices due to imports, the Indian rupee, inspite of FCNR B inflows of USD 133 billion, continues to be weak with ₹96 mark breached quite often. The US FED raised its policy range rate by 25 basis points to 3.75-4.0% in Sep' 26, the first increase since 2023. (Incidentally, RBI also last raised the Repo rate in 2023 only). Net FPI outflows crossed USD4 billion in Sep' 26 reversing the positive trends in July and August 2026. US 10 year Treasury Bond yields are ruling at 5.25% (50 bps more than the ruling rate last month) and...