Repo Rate review: likely to pause the rate, but change the stance
Repo Rate Review Oct’ 25: Pause in rate, but change in stance likely The bi-monthly review meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is underway (Sep 29 to Oct 1, 2025) and the RBI Governor is expected to announce the decisions of MPC on 1st Oct’ 25. I predict that the MPC may continue the 'pause' in the policy rate, but might change the stance from 'neutral' to 'accommodative'. Rationale: While (i) inflation for August (2.07%, still at the lower end of the inflation target band), (ii) the GDP growth for Q1FY26 is impressive (7.8% against 6.4% in the corresponding period the previous year), (iii) the forex reserves crossed and remain at USD700 billion plus levels, (iv) the reforms implemented in GST, with two slabs of 5% and 18%, promising increase in GDP on account of reduced price across consumer and capital goods, (inducing more production and more sales) are positive factors, (a) the additional tar...